Republican Senate candidates have seen serious bumps in the polls due to a combination of President Trump’s rallies and Democrats’ morally-bankrupt handling of the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process.
Senator Marsha Blackburn saw a 10-point swing in a poll held just after Trump held one of his Make America Great Again rallies in support of her candidacy. The most recent poll also came after it became evident that claims of sexual misconduct against Brett Kavanaugh were unsubstantiated and perhaps contrived.
Before the rally and Kavanaugh kurfuffle, Blackburn (R-TN) was down 5 points to Democratic party challenger Phil Bredesen, but the most recent poll shows her ahead by 5 which is outside the margin of error.
The sudden shift in voter sentiment has also forced Bredesen to come out in support for Kavanaugh.
“I am missing key pieces of information that a sitting Senator has, I’m still a ‘yes,’” Bredesen said Friday.
In Missouri, the Democrats’ failed Kavanaugh conspiracy has held more weight than the rally as Democrat incumbent Claire McCaskill had a 3-point lead over Republican challenger Josh Hawley – yeah, that’s gone.
Most notable is North Dakota where incumbent Democrat Senator Heidi Heitkamp is getting crushed by her Republican opponent. Trump visited on June 27, 2018, when Cramer had only a 4-point lead over Heitkamp. Since the rally, his lead has grown substantially and after the Kavanaugh mess, he’s up 12.
Other polls give evidence that the Democrats mishandling of the Kavanaugh nomination is affecting voter sentiment much more. Even CNN’s chief political analyst says that if Democrats keep pushing Kavanaugh as an election issue, it won’t go well for them.
“I think [a poll bounce] is there,” he said on New Day. “Republicans do in fact seem to be seeing some sort of bounce.”
Speaking specifically about Heitkamp’s predicament, he said that the polls in North Dakota are bad news for Democrats.
“We saw an earlier poll in North Dakota that showed something similar,” he said. “If Democrats want to take back the United States Senate they need to hold North Dakota … That is very bad news for Democrats.”
The Senate is expected to confirm Kavanaugh in a Saturday afternoon vote by a 51-49 margin. Once that happens, expect any remaining excitement on the left to drop off substantially after seeing their #resist movement fail to actually obstruct or delay much of anything from Republicans and the Trump administration.
The economy is booming, the Supreme Court just took a turn for the better, the military is stronger, taxes are lower – things are good, very good.
There is clear evidence that Trump sticking with Kavanaugh through the ill-conceived conspiracy was the right move both from a human perspective and a political one. Democrats’ penchant for over-playing their hand and effective rally appearances by the president may lead to a 2018 red wave if GOP supporters show up at the polls.
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